LA RICERCA ICI DELLA SETTIMANA
A roadmap for the decarbonisation of the Italian energy system by 2050
Edited by: Proff.: Livio de Santoli, Lorenzo Mario Pastore, Gianluigi Lo Basso, DIAEE, ICI.
The goal of achieving a zero-emission energy system by 2050 requires the use of energy models that allow detailed techno-economic analyses for accurate national energy policy planning. However, such models are highly dependent on forecasts of the future costs of renewable technologies and the choice of the optimal configuration is therefore based on variables that are inherently uncertain. In this work Prof. de Santoli, dr. Pastore and Prof. Lo Basso from DIAEE – ICI aim at identifying an optimal roadmap for the decarbonisation of the Italian energy system and to assess how the future cost scenarios of renewable technologies may influence the technical-economic optimisation process of the energy transition. The results indicate that an Italian energy system based entirely on renewable energy sources is technically feasible, achieving shares of non-dispatchable electricity generation (solar and wind) exceeding 90%. Furthermore, the uncertainty over the cost forecasts of the main technologies for the energy transition strongly influences the optimal configuration of the system, so this study emphasises the importance of conducting sensitivity analyses on future costs to determine how they affect long-term optimisation processes.
More information: https://doi.org/
